June 15, 2008

Bullish on Euro

Euro-Zone CPI is ahead and I expect Euro to outperform other currencies, and I see the dollar and the yen as possible candidate for selling in favor of Euro. The reasons:

  • CPI is more interesting when the ECB expressed concerns on inflation and clearly said it is going to raise interest rate as soon as the next meeting.

  • Lehman Brothers is to report the quarterly results tomorrow which is likely to revive concerns on credit strains and the need holding interest rate low.

  • I expect that any positive effect from the last week G-8 summit start to fade as we enter the new week.

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